Gartner 10 predictions for 2007

Posted December 14th, 2006

Sota de oros, from traditional Spanish deckThey look very interesting, some unexpected and some very reasonable. You can download a podcast about the predictions. Here is the quick list:
Gartner issues predictions for 2007 and beyond - Business - News - ZDNet Asia

  1. Through 2009, market share for the top 10 IT outsourcers will decline to 40 percent (from 43.5 percent now), equalling a revenue shift of US$5.4 billion.
  2. Only one Asia/Pacific-based service provider will make the global top 20 through 2010.
  3. Blogging and community contributors will peak in the first half of 2007.
  4. By 2009, corporate social responsibility (CSR) will be a higher board- and executive-level priority than regulatory compliance. Regulation has become a key issue for government and the corporate world, with the aim of ensuring more-responsible behaviour.
  5. By the end of 2007, 75 percent of enterprises will be infected with undetected, financially motivated, targeted malware that evaded their traditional perimeter and host defences.
  6. Vista will be the last major release of Microsoft Windows. The next generation of operating environments will be more modular and will be updated incrementally.
  7. By 2010, the average total cost of ownership (TCO) of new PCs will fall by 50 percent.
  8. By 2010, 60 percent of the worldwide cellular population will be “trackable” via an emerging “follow-me internet”.
  9. Through 2011, enterprises will waste US$100 billion buying the wrong networking technologies and services.
  10. By 2008, nearly 50 percent of data centres worldwide will lack the necessary power and cooling capacity to support high-density equipment.

The interesting thing is… what will actually happen in a year? Will I drop my blogging collaboration (see #3)? Will really CSR become such a hot topic in the IT world? Is really Windows Vista going to be the last big Windows?

Comments are welcome!

PS: The card shown belongs to the traditional spanish cards used for playing in Spain (from Mus to Butifarra). More info at Wikipedia and at the manufacturer Heraclio Fournier (surprising broad range of    products!).


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